diff --git a/routstr/core/terminal_outcomes.py b/routstr/core/terminal_outcomes.py
index ba4ad031..03c52cad 100644
--- a/routstr/core/terminal_outcomes.py
+++ b/routstr/core/terminal_outcomes.py
@@ -1,5 +1,8 @@
 from __future__ import annotations
 
+import hashlib
+import hmac
+import secrets
 import time
 from dataclasses import dataclass
 
@@ -14,6 +17,10 @@ from .terminal_outcome_writer import (
 
 logger = get_logger(__name__)
 
+# Rows must not share an id with request logs or the x-routstr-request-id
+# header. The key never leaves this process, so ids cannot be recomputed.
+_OUTCOME_ID_KEY = secrets.token_bytes(32)
+
 # Far above any real request, and low enough that a day's sums stay JSON-safe.
 _MAX_TOKENS = 2**31 - 1
 _MAX_REVENUE_MSATS = 2**40
@@ -88,7 +95,7 @@ def record_terminal_outcome(
             return
         terminal_outcome_writer.submit(
             _QueuedOutcome(
-                outcome_id=context.outcome_id,
+                outcome_id=_outcome_id(context.outcome_id),
                 terminal_at_ms=timestamp,
                 terminal_day=terminal_day,
                 model_identifier=context.model_identifier,
@@ -110,6 +117,10 @@ def record_terminal_outcome(
             pass
 
 
+def _outcome_id(request_id: str) -> str:
+    return hmac.new(_OUTCOME_ID_KEY, request_id.encode(), hashlib.sha256).hexdigest()
+
+
 def mark_terminal_outcome_loss(reason: str) -> None:
     try:
         terminal_outcome_writer.declare_loss(reason)
diff --git a/tests/unit/test_terminal_outcomes.py b/tests/unit/test_terminal_outcomes.py
index 4b6dbe10..9fc878ee 100644
--- a/tests/unit/test_terminal_outcomes.py
+++ b/tests/unit/test_terminal_outcomes.py
@@ -6,6 +6,7 @@ from contextlib import asynccontextmanager
 from dataclasses import dataclass
 from datetime import UTC, date, datetime, timedelta
 from pathlib import Path
+from unittest.mock import MagicMock
 
 import pytest
 from sqlalchemy.ext.asyncio import AsyncEngine, create_async_engine
@@ -470,7 +471,9 @@ def test_record_wrapper_never_raises_on_invalid_or_failed_submission(
 
         def submit(self, outcome: _QueuedOutcome) -> bool:
             self.submissions.append(outcome)
-            if outcome.outcome_id == "request-submit-error":
+            if outcome.outcome_id == outcomes_module._outcome_id(
+                "request-submit-error"
+            ):
                 raise RuntimeError("submission failed")
             return True
 
@@ -526,6 +529,27 @@ def test_record_wrapper_never_raises_on_invalid_or_failed_submission(
     assert writer.submissions[0].model_identifier is None
 
 
+def test_outcome_rows_do_not_carry_the_request_id(
+    monkeypatch: pytest.MonkeyPatch,
+) -> None:
+    writer = MagicMock()
+    monkeypatch.setattr(outcomes_module, "terminal_outcome_writer", writer)
+    for _ in range(2):
+        record_terminal_outcome(
+            TerminalOutcomeContext("request-a", "author/model"),
+            input_tokens=1,
+            output_tokens=1,
+            cache_read_input_tokens=0,
+            cache_creation_input_tokens=0,
+            revenue_msats=1,
+        )
+
+    first, second = (call.args[0] for call in writer.submit.call_args_list)
+    assert "request-a" not in first.outcome_id
+    # A second record of one request still collides instead of double counting.
+    assert first.outcome_id == second.outcome_id
+
+
 def test_cashu_retained_msats_uses_exact_persisted_units(
     monkeypatch: pytest.MonkeyPatch,
 ) -> None: